Ming Chi Kuo suggests that the M2 Pro / M2 Max processors, expected on board the next MacBook Pro, would ultimately be based on TSMC’s 5 nm process. This technical concession would allow Apple to begin mass production by the end of the year.
Launch mass production of the next MacBook Pro 14 and 16 from the fourth quarter of 2022 and settle for 5nm engraving for their M2 Pro/M2 Max processors… or wait a few months and be able to give them the all-new node 3nm from TSMC. To leave your hands free and launch its new MacBook Pros as soon as possible, Apple would opt for the first solution.
At least that’s what Ming-Chi Kuo claims. The TF International Securities analyst, known for his often well-founded predictions about Apple and its products, believes that the Californian giant would be ready for this technical concession, presumably to save time. It must be said that according to TSMC’s own predictions, 3 nm engraving would not begin to be used on a large scale (and therefore bring money to the founder) until the first half of 2023.
Ming-Chi Kuo’s predictions in this regard, however, go against those of the Commercial Times. The Taiwanese media estimated a few days ago that the new M2 Pro / M2 Max chips would be well engraved in 3 nm, with an imminent start of production. We also know from a reliable source that TSMC plans to launch, in the near future, the production of 3 nm chips on behalf of Apple. Information that adds to the uncertainty regarding the fineness of engraving that will ultimately be adopted for the processors of the next MacBook Pro 14 and 16.
New 14″ and 16″ MacBook Pro with new processors will enter mass production in 4Q22. Given TSMC’s guidance that the 3nm will contribute revenue starting in 1H23, processors of 14″ and 16″ MacBook Pro models may still adopt the 5nm advanced node.
— Ming-Chi Kuo (@mingchikuo) August 22, 2022
As a reminder, Mark Gurman had for his part predicted the imminent arrival of MacBook Pro, Mac mini and Mac Pro equipped with M2 processors. Machines that have yet to materialize, with the exception of the next-gen MacBook Pro 13, which does indeed pack an M2 chip, as does the new MacBook Air. The current MacBook Pro 14 and 16, launched at the end of 2021, are still equipped with M1 Pro / M1 Max chips, engraved in 5 nm. It will logically be the next Macs to be renewed.
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